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Sources

Every number on this site is tied to a primary source below: government data first, then established think-tank and news reporting. Where a figure is contested or dated, we say so. Corrections are welcome.

The cap, the scale, and the lottery

Pew Research Center: What we know about the H-1B visa program (2025)

The 85,000 annual cap (65,000 + 20,000 advanced-degree) and program overview.

USCIS: H-1B Electronic Registration Process

Registrations vs. selections by year, and the 2024 finding that 54% of entries were duplicate registrations.

Federal Register: Improving the H-1B Registration Selection Process (final rule, 2024)

The beneficiary-centric selection rule that cut duplicate registrations from 409k to 47k.

Who the visas go to

USCIS: Characteristics of H-1B Specialty Occupation Workers, 2024

64% in computer/IT occupations; 71% of beneficiaries from India; $120k median compensation.

USCIS / DHS: H-1B Authorized-to-Work Population Estimate

The last official 'stock' count: ~583,420 people in H-1B status as of Sept 30, 2019.

The top employers

National Foundation for American Policy: H-1B Petitions and Denial Rates, 2025

Employer rankings from the USCIS Data Hub, separating new petitions from continuing employment.

Forbes: Top U.S. Technology Companies Dominate H-1B List in 2025

Reporting on the employer mix of large tech firms and Indian IT outsourcing companies.

Wages

Economic Policy Institute: H-1B visas and prevailing wage levels

60% of certified H-1B jobs assigned to the two lowest wage tiers (14% Level 1, 46% Level 2), 2019.

U.S. Department of Labor: Prevailing Wage Determination Policy Guidance

The four-level prevailing-wage system and the percentile each level maps to.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Software Developers (Occupational Outlook)

$133,080 median annual wage for software developers, the U.S. benchmark (May 2024).

Tech layoffs

Crunchbase: Tech Layoffs Tracker

~506,000+ U.S. tech job cuts, 2022 through 2025.

Layoffs.fyi

A broader, more global layoff tracker. Counts a different universe than Crunchbase; we do not merge the two.

AI and employment

Stanford Digital Economy Lab: Canaries in the Coal Mine (2025)

A ~13-16% relative decline in early-career employment in the most AI-exposed jobs, from ADP payroll data. Correlational.

Fortune: Google's AI is writing more than a quarter of its code

Sundar Pichai on the AI-generated share of new code (Oct 2024); later raised past 30%.

CNBC: Amazon CEO says AI will reduce corporate workforce

Andy Jassy's June 2025 memo. Amazon is the largest H-1B petitioner in the country.

The green-card backlog

Cato Institute: 1.8 Million in Employment-Based Green Card Backlog

The backlog totals, and the ~134-year projected wait for a new Indian applicant.

Forbes: More Than 1 Million Indians Waiting for High-Skilled Immigrant Visas

NFAP's count of Indians stranded in the employment green-card categories.

Program history

Immigration Act of 1990 (Pub. L. 101-649): full statute

The law that created the H-1B program, signed November 29, 1990; effective 1991.

A note on honesty: the total H-1B population figure is an estimate: the last official count was 583,420 in 2019. Executive statements about AI productivity are self-reported. Wage figures are offered wages at filing, not audited total compensation. We flag these so the argument rests only on what the record can bear.